Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 15.631025 17.870474 20.248847 22.955559 25.943048 29.132228 32.786534
2024-12-22 12.378638 15.267412 18.515726 22.414409 26.940903 32.004844 38.071390
2024-12-29 10.478775 13.775606 17.662471 22.532468 28.417084 35.242893 43.700079
2025-01-05 8.948724 12.464115 16.787870 22.413028 29.447171 37.858983 48.576360
2025-01-12 7.912478 11.607224 16.325362 22.667943 30.835194 40.856145 53.923490
2025-01-19 7.048771 10.854892 15.887291 22.857291 32.071851 43.638034 59.030088
2025-01-26 6.489901 10.440388 15.827906 23.487592 33.847167 47.106064 65.057028
2025-02-02 5.951524 9.988000 15.658776 23.923346 35.341554 50.220866 70.686210
2025-02-09 5.355395 9.383293 15.214217 23.924315 36.212834 52.509668 75.269249
2025-02-16 4.582164 8.425696 14.177878 23.005231 35.744358 52.958826 77.392126
2025-02-23 4.080446 7.838438 13.632739 22.739184 36.143505 54.553212 81.048201
2025-03-02 3.580517 7.198942 12.952394 22.216883 36.128232 55.546402 83.879845
2025-03-09 3.201330 6.726772 12.500009 22.012150 36.563878 57.183212 87.652511
2025-03-16 2.815125 6.198310 11.912511 21.553756 36.587095 58.216209 90.588332
2025-03-23 2.584153 5.924985 11.719324 21.694674 37.500034 60.530471 95.365960
2025-03-30 2.334496 5.587735 11.389717 21.589489 38.019086 62.271857 99.352127
2025-04-06 2.167447 5.391778 11.286402 21.841301 39.088731 64.836071 104.566447
2025-04-13 2.005740 5.187892 11.151660 22.026920 40.050639 67.253705 109.609082
2025-04-20 1.918090 5.127560 11.269138 22.639698 41.705149 70.740645 116.281880
2025-04-27 1.811311 5.014364 11.279393 23.063200 43.061304 73.800719 122.378437
2025-05-04 1.660351 4.786447 11.056729 23.064265 43.721470 75.806094 126.937688
2025-05-11 1.421639 4.327594 10.354539 22.171758 42.865140 75.441164 127.920102
2025-05-18 1.276095 4.066608 10.017316 21.913448 43.047642 76.681099 131.336230